“People form opinions at their own pace and in their own way – the notion that information could be instantly processed is one of the ivory tower assumptions that has little to do with reality.” Sebastian Mallaby, More Money Than God
So this is one of the many cases for Inefficient Markets Theory. It’s in stark contrast to Dan Solin’s opinion laid out in The Smartest Investment Book You’ll Ever Read
Where am I with these opinions? Still undecided. But I do have a few opinions.
- You may be able to ‘beat the market’ but only temporarily. Soon enough whatever amazing strategy you’ve come up with will be replicated, and the market will become ‘efficient’.
- If markets were efficient, there would be no such thing as hedge funds – they couldn’t exit. No investing ‘edge’ would ever work
- It’s a very small minority who can continually ‘beat the market’ meaning that even if markets are inefficient, there are very few who can be relied upon to do it for long periods of time. This obviously has ramifications for who you should invest your money with.
I’ll be exploring Efficient vs. Inefficient – will be interesting to see where this lands.
First step is to see what people say online.